Monday, November 03, 2014

Last Senate Update

These are my final guesses for the U.S. Senate elections tomorrow.



If Orman wins and caucuses with the majority, he'll likely choose to team up with Republicans, since he's probably not foolish enough to base his decision on a result that happens before potential runoffs in Louisiana and Georgia determine control of the senate for sure.  This is of course assuming he wins, which, let's face it, would be really weird, despite the polling on the Kansas senate race saying Orman has a narrow lead.    Still, an algorithm is an algorithm, and mine shows Orman up a percentage point on Pat Roberts.